Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 115.457825 127.426348 139.683457 153.148002 167.496578 182.303860 198.713027
2025-05-11 96.592359 114.549266 133.831173 155.957672 180.528146 206.861525 237.101907
2025-05-18 76.883896 97.983394 121.716759 150.097317 182.818129 219.077328 262.007594
2025-05-25 63.312308 86.427763 113.582234 147.283703 187.434763 233.207774 288.791289
2025-06-01 53.845567 78.417912 108.463524 147.012409 194.265705 249.446342 317.876558
2025-06-08 47.027639 72.767808 105.421724 148.577533 202.806553 267.444926 349.027391
2025-06-15 43.090002 70.310349 105.954274 154.248103 216.182682 291.237627 387.303304
2025-06-22 38.545451 66.450939 104.191893 156.608490 225.180947 309.612586 419.126215
2025-06-29 34.008617 62.051079 101.240284 157.018538 231.412817 324.418270 446.579112
2025-07-06 30.476183 58.699284 99.372451 158.578713 238.932316 340.756483 475.986656
2025-07-13 28.470587 57.432558 100.264463 163.779384 251.208191 363.207543 513.263575
2025-07-20 26.138401 55.375977 99.799302 166.936971 260.682398 382.084244 546.160663
2025-07-27 24.316110 54.030239 100.361674 171.645308 272.508489 404.437001 584.161605
2025-08-03 22.242456 52.037637 99.794641 174.657332 282.044128 423.943846 618.814516
2025-08-10 18.352451 46.354904 93.078476 168.294996 278.276245 425.666841 630.324002
2025-08-17 15.632513 42.421351 88.794374 165.238128 278.905009 433.101848 649.241553
2025-08-24 13.741758 39.813032 86.451241 164.940118 283.342353 445.633679 674.936663
2025-08-31 12.390054 38.101658 85.466165 166.634394 290.611369 462.053655 705.927478
2025-09-07 11.850625 38.039174 87.294892 172.775631 304.463453 487.673447 749.486171
2025-09-14 10.832600 36.782724 86.917195 175.330244 313.013491 506.018866 783.410030
2025-09-21 9.631798 34.922187 85.305501 175.773754 318.356056 519.900933 811.383366
2025-09-28 8.707104 33.565974 84.503229 177.461927 325.538915 536.394477 843.020539
2025-10-05 8.317536 33.481569 86.061059 183.086913 338.762197 561.536489 886.688196